Learn Markov Chains step-by-step using real-life examples. Video Chapters: Markov Chains 00:00 Introduction 00:19 Topics Covered 01:49 Markov Chains Applications 02:04 Markov Property 03:18 Example 1 03:54 States, State Space, Transition Probabilities 06:17 Transition Matrix 08:17 Example 02 09:17 Example 03 10:26 Example 04 12:25 Example 05 14:16 Example 06 16:49 Example 07 18:11 Example 08 24:56 Conclusion
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Neuro Fuzzy Hybrid System for Water Heater Control System ~xRay Pixy
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Water heater control system using Neuro Fuzzy Hybrid System.
Video Chapters:
00:00 Introduction
01:38 Hybrid Approach
02:37 Neural Network
03:08 Neural Network Components
05:38 Fuzzy Logic
12:09 Neuro-Fuzzy Hybrid System
14:16 Numerical Example
22:22 Conclusion
A neuro-fuzzy hybrid system, also known as a neuro-fuzzy system or fuzzy neural network, combines the principles of neural networks and fuzzy logic to create a more robust and versatile system for solving complex problems, particularly in the field of artificial intelligence and control systems. This hybrid approach aims to take advantage of the strengths of both neural networks and fuzzy logic to handle uncertainty, nonlinearities, and complex patterns effectively.
The key components and concepts involved in a neuro-fuzzy hybrid system:
Neural Networks
Neural networks are computational models inspired by the human brain's structure and functioning. They consist of interconnected nodes (neurons) organized into layers, including an input layer, one or more hidden layers, and an output layer. Neural networks can learn from data and adapt their internal parameters (weights and biases) through training using algorithms like backpropagation. Neural networks are well-suited for tasks involving pattern recognition, function approximation, and nonlinear mapping.
Fuzzy Logic
Fuzzy logic is a mathematical framework for dealing with uncertainty and imprecision in data and decision-making. It uses linguistic variables, membership functions, and fuzzy rules to represent and process information in a fuzzy manner. Fuzzy logic is particularly useful for handling vague or qualitative information and making decisions based on expert knowledge.
In a neuro-fuzzy hybrid system, these two components are integrated to address complex problems. Here's how it typically works:
Fuzzification
Input data is fuzzified to convert crisp values into fuzzy sets using linguistic variables and membership functions.
Rule-Based Fuzzy Inference
Fuzzy rules, which describe relationships between inputs and outputs in linguistic terms, are applied to the fuzzy inputs to produce fuzzy outputs.
Defuzzification
The fuzzy output is converted back into a crisp value using defuzzification methods, such as centroid or weighted average.
Neural Network Integration
The crisp output from the fuzzy system can be used as input to a neural network.
The neural network can further refine the output, learn from data, and handle complex patterns and nonlinear relationships.
Steps of a neuro-fuzzy system for stock price prediction with corrected numerical calculations:
Step 1: Fuzzification
In this step, we convert crisp input data into fuzzy sets using linguistic variables and membership functions. Here are the linguistic variables and membership functions for our example:
SPC (Stock Price Change):
Linguistic variables: Negative (N), Neutral (Z), Positive (P)
Membership functions:
Negative (N): SPC ∈ [-2, -1]
Neutral (Z): SPC ∈ [-1, 1]
Positive (P): SPC ∈ [1, 2]
TVC (Trading Volume Change):
Linguistic variables: Low (L), Medium (M), High (H)
Membership functions:
Low (L): TVC ∈ [0, 50]
Medium (M): TVC ∈ [30, 70]
High (H): TVC ∈ [50, 100]
Suppose we have the following data:
SPC = -0.5 (Negative)
TVC = 40 (Medium)
Step 2: Rule-Based Fuzzy Inference
Define fuzzy rules that describe the relationship between fuzzy input variables and the predicted stock price change. We use a simple set of rules:
If SPC is Negative (N) and TVC is Low (L), then Price Change is Negative (N).
If SPC is Neutral (Z) and TVC is Medium (M), then Price Change is Neutral (Z).
If SPC is Positive (P) and TVC is High (H), then Price Change is Positive (P).
Rule 1: SPC(N) = 0.5 (since SPC is halfway between -1 and -2), TVC(L) = 0.6 (since TVC is halfway between 0 and 50)
Rule 2: SPC(Z) = 0.5 (since SPC is halfway between -1 and 1), TVC(M) = 0.5 (since TVC is halfway between 30 and 70)
Rule 3: SPC(P) = 0 (since SPC is negative, and P doesn't apply), TVC(H) = 0 (since TVC is not in the high range)
Step 3: Defuzzification
Now that we have determined that Rule 2 is the most relevant, we defuzzify the output to get a crisp prediction. We can use the centroid method for defuzzification. The output membership functions for Price Change (N, Z, P) have centroids defined as:
Negative (N): -1.5
Neutral (Z): 0
Positive (P): 1.5
So, the centroid of the output membership function for "Price Change" is 0.
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